Consider a turkey that is fed every day. Every single feeding will firm up the bird’s belief that it is the general rule of life to be fed every day by friendly members of the human race ‘looking out for its best interests,’ as a politician would say.
On the afternoon of the Wednesday before Thanksgiving, something unexpected will happen to the turkey. It will incur a revision of belief.
This gem is from Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s The Black Swan, a masterpiece, half of which is Greek to me.
Yeah, I’m not too bright, but if you are, you’ll get the book from Amazon.
The Bible said it long before Mr. Taleb, though.
Don’t boast about tomorrow, for you don’t know what a day might bring.
– Proverbs 27:1
Therefore don’t worry about tomorrow, because tomorrow will worry about itself. Each day has enough trouble of its own.
– Matthew 6:34